Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
One-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 52.8%
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado23 may 24, 13:11 UTC1 jun 29, 3:59 UTC
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From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.
- Resolves YES if either:
- An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.
- An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason.
- Doesn't matter what the context is.
- Resolves NO if it doesn't.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years??
- Está previsto que Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years? se resuelva el 1 de junio de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.