Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 51%
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Desactualizado23 may 24, 13:11 UTC1 jun 29, 3:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.
- Resolves YES if either:
- An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.
- An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason.
- Doesn't matter what the context is.
- Resolves NO if it doesn't.
