Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 51.7%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado27 jul 26, 22:19 UTC1 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
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Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
LimitlessReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump makes a subsequent visit to mainland China, Hong Kong, or Macau on or after July 27, 2026, and before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC).
- Because Donald Trump already completed a state visit to Beijing on May 13–15, 2026, his past trip does not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- This market requires a new, separate visit during the specified timeframe.
- The market will resolve based on official statements from the White House or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, or consensus reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg).
- A "visit" is defined as Trump physically landing and setting foot in the specified territory.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria