Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 75.6%
Pronosticadores
84
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado31 dic 23, 22:36 UTC2 ene 30, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.
- If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden??
- Está previsto que Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.