Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 72.7%
Sí 72.7%Pronosticadores
84
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado31 dic 23, 22:36 UTC2 ene 30, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.
- If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).