Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualJan 1, 2025 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
56
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado2 abr 24, 12:55 UTC2 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China still be a communist country on the following dates
Manifold MarketsWill the United States of America still have a republican system of government by the following dates:
Manifold MarketsWill chips covered by the 2022 US export controls be exported to China before the following dates? (2032)
Manifold MarketsCuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026?
FutuurCommunist regime collapse in Cuba before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba
- For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states
- Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both the named outcome and the following years will resolve as NO.
