Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.7%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
6 sept 26, 9:02 UTC1 oct 26, 4:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve "yes" if any construction for the purposes of building Trump's triumphal arch begins before September ends.
- If no such construction occurs before October 1 ET, this market will resolve "no".
- For the purposes of this market, construction is defined as any changes to the site of the planned arch that are done for the purpose of actually constructing the arch (merely setting up construction equipment or similar preparations will not count).
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.
- Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- Está previsto que Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve "yes" if any construction for the purposes of building Trump's triumphal arch begins before September ends.