Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.3%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado5 jun 25, 18:51 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum's approval rating is above 60% at the end of December 2027.
- The approval rating will be determined based on the most recent poll conducted by a reputable polling organization, such as Enkoll, El Financiero, or Mitofsky, published within the last month of 2027.
- If multiple polls conducted on an identical or nearly identical set of days are available, the average of these polls will be used to determine the outcome.
Mercados abiertos
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 125,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 497,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-6.0pt84.2%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+6.7pt13.9%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+15 resultados más
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.9%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt43.4%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.8%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro87.4%
- Delcy Rodríguez-2.5pt9.5%
- María Corina Machado+0.3pt2.1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHINew Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Hawai'i-6.0pt71%
- New Mexico St.+5.0pt29%
- Volumen total
- 27,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,3 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt8%
- September 30-1.5pt5%
- Volumen total
- 90,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,5 mil €
- Worlds 2026 Winning Region
- Paraná Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Guerrero Governor Election Winner
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- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i: Spread
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
- Tucuman vs River Plate
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria