Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffAmérica Latina1m
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 93%
Sí 93%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baja liquidezTraders
8
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
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FutuurReglas
This market will resolve based on whether Claudia Sheinbaum is recognized as the President of the United Mexican States as of December 31, 2026 at 23:59:59 UTC, according to the official Government of Mexico (for example, the Presidency or federal government’s primary website and official communications), which will act as the Primary Designated Source (PDS).
- If, at that time, the Government of Mexico lists or refers to Claudia Sheinbaum as the sitting President, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- If, at that time, any other individual is recognized as President or the office is vacant, this market will resolve to "No".
- If official government sources are significantly delayed, unavailable, contradictory or ambiguous, Futuur will apply a Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) based on a clear consensus among at least three major independent international news organizations regarding who is serving as Mexico’s president at the specified time.
- Resolution will be guided by the substantive, commonly understood reality of who holds the presidency, rather than minor technicalities in how titles, timestamps or pages are formatted.
- Futuur is committed to a fair and transparent resolution process and may cancel the market if, after reasonable efforts, no clear determination can be reached from the designated sources.