Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJoe Biden 53.9%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
18 jun 24, 13:00 UTC19 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurReglas
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Joe Biden al 54% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Está previsto que Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? se resuelva el 19 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.