Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 82.9%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado7 nov 24, 1:55 UTC20 ene 29, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNJ-07 House winner?
KalshiReglas
Only resolves true if natural causes/old age prior to 1/20/2029.
- Outside intentional influence resolves as false.