Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 82.9%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 32 minutos
7 nov 24, 1:55 UTC20 ene 29, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsIf Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
Only resolves true if natural causes/old age prior to 1/20/2029.
- Outside intentional influence resolves as false.