¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91.1% a fecha de 30 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050??

Está previsto que Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2050.

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Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 91.1%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 20 horas

Desactualizado

4 oct 23, 8:36 UTC1 ene 50, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Ever since its incorporation into the German Empire in 1871, calls for a Bavarian independent state have been loud and numerous.

As one of Germany's most populous and richest states with a strong regional identity, Bavarian separatists argue that the German government infringes on its sovereign rights and worsens quality of life by taking resources away from Bavaria through financial redistribution, for example.
In some ways, it's reminiscent of other separatist movements such as those of Scotland or Catalonia.
[image]However, according to a 2017 YouGov poll, only 32% of Bavarians would support independence, and the only party in favour of it (Bavaria Party) does not currently have enough votes to enter parliament.