Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Crimen y justicia4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.3%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado18 jul 24, 14:23 UTC1 ene 31, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if, by 2031, a person other than Thomas Matthew Crooks is arrested, tried, and found guilty in a US Court of law for criminal negligence, aiding and abetting, or otherwise helping with Crook's assassination attempt on Trump.
- The person may or may not have been in contact with Crooks.
- For example, a secret service agent or someone else may be convicted of negligence if they saw the shooter in advance but decided not to act in a reasonable manner to save the president's life.
