Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 99%
Pronosticadores
47
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado5 feb 25, 2:21 UTC23 dic 32, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Background Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on December 27, 2024, by NASA's ATLAS telescope in Chile.
- The asteroid is estimated to be between 40-90 meters in diameter.
- Current calculations indicate a potential impact date of December 22, 2032, with odds ranging from 1 in 77 to 1 in 83.
- The potential impact corridor spans South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea, and South Asia.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Asteroid 2024 YR4 impacts Earth's surface or atmosphere on or around December 22, 2032.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Mercados abiertos
Latin America
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 125,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 635,9 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt84.3%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.8pt13.7%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 resultados más
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt9%
- September 30-1.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 86 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 56,5 mil €
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt42.9%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.9%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro86.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez-3.0pt11.5%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro+2.5pt86%
- Sandro Alex-2.5pt14%
- Requião Filho-0.4pt0%
+6 resultados más
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Lima Mayoral Election Winner
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth??
- Está previsto que Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth? se resuelva el 23 de diciembre de 2032.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Background Asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on December 27, 2024, by NASA's ATLAS telescope in Chile.