Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 86.6%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 23, 12:16 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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ForecastExReglas
The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf
- The overturning of Roe v Wade has prompted many to fear that access to contraception may come under threat: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf
- For the purposes of this market, contraception will include condoms, oral contraceptives, IUD or other implants, but NOT the morning-after pill.
- If any one of these contraceptive methods is banned, with the ban coming into effect before 2030, I will resolve YES.
- If the sale or provision of contraceptives is banned, I will resolve YES even if using contraceptives is not criminalized.
- If the ban applies only to a subgroup (like unmarried couples) I will resolve YES (except for bans concerning minors, who already have spotty access to contraception).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any US state ban contraception by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any US state ban contraception by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will any US state ban contraception by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any US state ban contraception by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The right to use contraception is currently protected by previous Supreme Court rulings, which means that states do not have the power to ban: https://reproductiverights.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Constitutional-Protection-for-the-Right-to-Contraception-Fact-Sheet2.pdf