Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 96%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
6 ene 24, 20:21 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve once the Clay Millennium Prize is officially awarded, which typically carries a two-year waiting period.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volumen total
- 225,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 157 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 348,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will only resolve once the Clay Millennium Prize is officially awarded, which typically carries a two-year waiting period.