Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffBusiness & CorporateManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 15 ago 2026, 21:40
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 0:5215 ago 26, 21:40
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Reglas
Prop resolves Yes if, by August 15, 2026, any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks have an IPO or direct listing with closing market cap over $200 billion.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
