Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaMiddle East1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado16 mar 26, 12:06 UTC1 ene 28, 11:41 UTC
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Any deal that could be easily perceived as "against the interests of the USA" will be considered.
- These include but are not limited to: - Kicking out USA military personnel from local bases - Temporarily restricting US operations in said bases - Restricting airspace access to the USA - Agreeing to only sell oil in Yuan for the duration of the conflict
- The deal must: 1) Offer a concrete non-aggression guarantee by Iran 2) Sideline the USA* 3) Be publicly acknowledged by both sides
- *A deal between the USA and Iran that happens to help conditions for all the gulf-states will not be considered.
- (That said, I can see a world where Bahrain and Iran strike a deal and Trump insists it's his deal cause he's the dealmaker...
- I would consider this still sidelines the USA if it clearly favours Bahrain only.)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- Está previsto que Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Any deal that could be easily perceived as "against the interests of the USA" will be considered.