Will Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
ExchangesAccionesOne-OffEventos corporativosRegulaciónNegocios y empresasIATecnología11d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
9 sept 26, 18:54 UTC7 nov 26, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
Manifold MarketsWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsWill Insider Trading Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) will close above 59 on the latest trading day of 2026
Manifold MarketsNasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
PolymarketS&P 500 (SPX) close at the final trading day of 2026
FutuurReglas
Reuters reported in early September 2026 that Anthropic's IPO launch has shifted toward mid-October at the earliest, with the prospectus expected in late September and the listing completed "days before" the U.S. midterm elections.
- Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley are leading the offering; some investors have floated a valuation near $2 trillion.
- The question is whether that plan survives contact with the calendar.
- Resolves YES if Anthropic common stock (or equivalent listed security, including via direct listing) has its first day of trading on a U.S. public exchange (Nasdaq, NYSE, or equivalent) on or before November 6, 2026, 23:59 ET.
- Resolves NO otherwise — including if the offering is postponed, withdrawn, priced but not traded by the deadline, or if the company remains private.
- A private placement, tender offer, secondary-market transaction on a venue such as Forge or EquityZen, or a SPAC announcement without completed trading does not count.
