Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
ExchangeOne-OffIACorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 82.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado11 ago 26, 1:45 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if: OpenAI common stock begins trading on a public exchange on or before December 31, 2026, AND its market capitalization at the close of its first full trading day is ≥ $1.00 trillion USD.
- • Resolves NO if trading has not begun by Dec 31, 2026 (delay, withdrawal, or acquisition all count as NO).
- This is deliberate — the market prices both timing risk and valuation.
- • Market cap = first-day closing price × total shares outstanding as reported by at least two of: Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ, or the exchange itself.
- If outlets split on basic vs. diluted share count, use basic shares outstanding per the final prospectus.
- • Direct listing counts the same as a traditional IPO.
Mercados abiertos
Exchange
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+??
- Está previsto que Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if: OpenAI common stock begins trading on a public exchange on or before December 31, 2026, AND its market capitalization at the close of its first full trading day is ≥ $1.00 trillion USD.