Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 77.6%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado13 nov 23, 21:55 UTC2 ene 30, 5:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Will Anthropic still exist as an independent company in 2030? This resolves as NO if Anthropic is acquired by another company or folds by 2030.
- It resolves YES if Anthropic has not been acquired and is still in existence by 2030 with a Board of Directors that is independent, or is Public without getting bought out.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
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- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will Anthropic still exist as an independent company in 2030? This resolves as NO if Anthropic is acquired by another company or folds by 2030.