Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.4%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
5 sept 26, 3:42 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
SSI public model released by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a new frontier model before their IPO?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
PolymarketReglas
Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO.
- The ECI score doesn't need to have been settled by IPO.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+2.0pt8%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 36,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 16,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Anthropic-2.8pt94%
- OpenAI+2.8pt6%
- Volumen total
- 308,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 15,6 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T+-0.3pt78.4%
- 1.25T–1.5T-1.0pt8.8%
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+2.9pt6.9%
+4 resultados más
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 11 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO??
- Está previsto que Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO.