Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No AI-generated movie will hit the Top 10 in 2026 92.8%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado18 may 26, 6:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official "Top 10" lists published by Netflix at top10.netflix.com.
- A movie will be considered "AI-generated" if it is primarily marketed as such or if reputable industry reporting (e.g., Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, Deadline) confirms that the film's core visuals, script, or animation were produced predominantly by generative AI tools.
- Yes, in Q1 2026: Resolves to this option if such a film reaches the Top 10 between January 1, 2026, and March 31, 2026.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this option if such a film reaches the Top 10 between April 1, 2026, and June 30, 2026.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this option if such a film reaches the Top 10 between July 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
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- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
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- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
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- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an AI-generated movie hit Netflix Top 10 in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No AI-generated movie will hit the Top 10 in 2026 al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an AI-generated movie hit Netflix Top 10 in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will an AI-generated movie hit Netflix Top 10 in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an AI-generated movie hit Netflix Top 10 in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria