Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 79%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado9 ene 24, 14:13 UTC1 ene 27, 18:11 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves as YES if an AI generated video has reached 500 million views on YouTube before January 1st 2027
- Different number of views:
- @/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-youtube-video-dffa37ad4ea8
- @/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-youtube-video-3d03ea841919
- @/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-youtube-video-8ece29d7032e
- @/RemNi/will-an-ai-generated-youtube-video-f31c516403e4
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if an AI generated video has reached 500 million views on YouTube before January 1st 2027