Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 14:32 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 52.7%
Pronosticadores
61
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado28 mar 24, 12:16 UTC1 ene 29, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM from OpenAI beat a FIDE grandmaster in chess by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
KalshiNext Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?
PolymarketReglas
It shouldn't be an AI made specifically for chess.
- Think of a general ai for a task other than chess - like gpt for language, or sora, or Dall e.