Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 57%
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado19 nov 25, 0:05 UTC1 ene 30, 23:56 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.
- Resolves NO if there is not any AI "bubble pop" or if it does not impact the greater economy in a significant enough way.
- Market will extend until the next depression is clearly established and causes are analyzed by at least 10 reputable publications.
- Classification of a depression will be evaluated based on a majority of reputable news sources and relevant experts.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_bubble
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_depression
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression??
- Está previsto que Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.