Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50%
Pronosticadores
0
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado19 may 26, 3:17 UTC31 dic 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elliot Glazer get an Erdos number of less than 3 by EOY2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Alok Singh, Jesse Han, or Elliot Glazer get a MATHEMATICAL THEOREM named after them by EOY2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Alok Singh's brain be uploaded to ASI?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 230,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 77,1 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 109,5 mil €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Alok Singh get an Erdos number of less than 3 by EOY2032??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Alok Singh get an Erdos number of less than 3 by EOY2032??
- Está previsto que Will Alok Singh get an Erdos number of less than 3 by EOY2032? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2032.