Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.2%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado31 oct 25, 11:55 UTC31 oct 26, 22:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.
- On October 30, 2025, one of the firms, Udio, "settled" with the plaintiffs, and the terms of the settlement resulted in the effective closure of their service.
- Suno, another firm, is facing the same claims and engaged in largely the same behavior, but is defending itself with a different argument - that the labels have unclean hands because they engaged in an anticompetitive scheme to suppress AI generation for their own benefit, and is using discovery to try to prove that argument.
- If they cannot find evidence of this alleged scheme, they may shortly "settle" as well.
- This market will resolve to YES if, on Halloween 2026, it is not possible to generate music of the same quality for the same or lower price as it was on October 30, 2025 before Udio closed, download it in a lossless format, and possess full ownership and distribution rights.
- The "price" might be a subscription fee, or per-track.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
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+3 resultados más
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- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
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- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026??
- Está previsto que Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.