Will AI contribute as much as a co-author would today to a real research mathematics paper before Jan 1 2028?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 96.1%
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Actualizado hace 33 minutos
1 jul 23, 13:47 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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When integrated with tools such as formal proof verifiers, internet search, and symbolic math packages, I expect, say, 2026-level AI, when used properly, will be a trustworthy co-author in mathematical research, and in many other fields as well.
- this one is for 2028
- Resolves YES if a real professional mathematician claims this happened for them, unless consensus of other experts is that it didn't happen
- https://unlocked.microsoft.com/ai-anthology/terence-tao/