![Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FHankyUSA%2Frj8afyi67k.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2026 1%Líder entre 4 opciones
2026 1%Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado22 jul 24, 14:59 UTC1 ene 28, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
On December 30, 2023 Justin Murphy said, "we need a prediction market for Aella reverting to Christianity in the next 5 years." In response @Aella created the question @/Aella/will-i-aella-convert-to-christianit.
- I would like to collect the mana of YES holders sooner rather than later, so I created this question.
- I plan to resolve answers soon after the end of each year.
- If @Aella converts within a given year, then I will resolve that year and all following years to YES.
- For the purposes of this question (based on Justin Murphy's tweet and @Aella's question), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.
- Tweet from Justin Murphy:
