Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 53.8%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado18 dic 23, 22:46 UTC31 dic 99, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
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PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiReglas
It will resolve YES if a model that unites general relativity and quantum mechanics or explains phenomena better than those theories is created.
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
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- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
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KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
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POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a theory of everything be found this century??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a theory of everything be found this century??
- Está previsto que Will a theory of everything be found this century? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a theory of everything be found this century??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: It will resolve YES if a model that unites general relativity and quantum mechanics or explains phenomena better than those theories is created.