Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
Latin AmericaOne-OffEurope3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.6%
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3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado17 abr 26, 21:31 UTC1 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if a sitting head of state or head of government of any internationally recognized country posts a video on TikTok or Instagram Reels before December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC) in which they are clearly dancing.
- What counts:
- The video must be posted to the leader's verified/official TikTok or Instagram account
- The leader must be visibly dancing (not just standing, waving, or clapping) — coordinated body movement to music
- Candid clips posted by others don't count — it must be posted by the leader's own official account
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria