Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 71.1%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado23 may 26, 20:26 UTC31 dic 46, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Europa by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Ganymede by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Permanent: designed to operate indefinitely; has a chance of lasting many years like other rovers.
- Land: operate on the surface as designed.
Mercados abiertos
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,7 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volumen total
- 101,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,5 mil €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Io by EOY 2046??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Io by EOY 2046??
- Está previsto que Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Io by EOY 2046? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2046.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Io by EOY 2046??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.