Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027?
One-OffCiencia3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 98%
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47
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado12 ago 23, 5:27 UTC2 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.
- Resolves YES if such a proof is found before then.
- This would obviously likely be by an AI, but proofs from human mathematicians also count.
- I wanted a version of this question that resolves closer to within my apocalypse timeline, so I'll actually be forced to pay up [by my reckoning] if I'm wrong and Fermat goofed or was messing with us.
- I'll also be forced to pay up if people just don't turn a lot of compute toward answering this question, but I think this setup gives overall better incentives to short-timeline people.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027??
- Está previsto que Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.