Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 60.4%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado
17 dic 23, 14:58 UTC1 mar 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.
The payload must be lifted from at maximum 50km by the system (the payload can be released by, for example, a balloon), and must reach an altitude of at least 100km.
The mass of the payload must be at least 10g when crossing the 100km threshold (the mass of the payload may decrease during levitation due to ablation).
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050??
Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050??
Está previsto que Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2050.
¿Cómo se liquida Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if a directed energy system has levitated a payload of at least 10 grams to the height of 100km before January 1st 2050.