Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 63.5%
Pronosticadores
44
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado12 sept 23, 22:06 UTC2 feb 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if a member of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 presidential elections.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves YES if a democrat wins the postponed elections, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to NO.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 64%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
