Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
ChinaOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 83.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado24 oct 23, 7:40 UTC31 dic 39, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PolymarketWill the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any member of the US Armed Forces die in Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
PolymarketChina x Japan military clash before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
- Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
- Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
- Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,7 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 356,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- Está previsto que Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2039.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force