Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Troy Jackson (99%)
Resuelto: 30 jul 2026, 5:01
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualTroy Jackson 99%+1.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 días
Desactualizado7 jul 26, 11:4130 jul 26, 5:01
Cronología de Probabilidad
Troy Jackson99%
Nirav Shah0.2%
Janet Mills0.2%
Sara Gideon0.2%
Shenna Bellows0.2%
No drop out0.1%
99%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This is a binary market.
- Since the question asks "Who will replace...", the creator should edit this description to specify the name of the candidate they are betting on (for example, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, or the named outcome).
- If the creator does not edit the description to specify a particular candidate, this market will default to resolving as follows:
- YES: If Graham Platner officially withdraws from the Maine U.S. Senate race on or before the statutory deadline of July 13, 2026, and the Maine Democratic Party officially names any replacement candidate to the general election ballot by the July 27, 2026 deadline.
