Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 61.5%Líder entre 19 opciones
Pronosticadores
52
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado16 feb 24, 3:32 UTC6 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessReglas
This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
- This can be in 2024, 2028, or however long it takes for this to happen.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Está previsto que Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? se resuelva el 6 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.