Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
2.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección2a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 83.2%+2.5pt
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
25,9 €
Liquidez
34,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
14.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
-3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
30 jul 26, 15:16 UTC7 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election wins the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The following rules govern the determination of the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election:
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential Election; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- An endorsement of an individual for the Republican Party’s nomination in the 2028 United States Presidential Election will qualify as an endorsement for the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- Endorsements of a candidate for the Democratic Party's nomination without also endorsing that candidate for President in the general election will not qualify.
