Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Donald Trump 79.4%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
70
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado17 jul 24, 16:41 UTC2 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.4%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
As of midnight US eastern time.
- Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option.
- If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.
Mercados abiertos
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- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
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- Volumen total
- 847,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 668,8 mil €
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
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- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Donald Trump al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029?
- Está previsto que Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As of midnight US eastern time.