Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Fabiano Caruana 14.5%Líder entre 13 opciones
Fabiano Caruana 14.5%Pronosticadores
61
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 24, 23:36 UTC1 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Scottie Scheffler's current reign at the top break Tiger Wood's record of consecutive weeks at World Number 1?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketReglas
Magnus Carlsen has been the number 1 ranked player by classical chess FIDE rating since July 2011.
- This question resolves to the first person who is not Magnus Carlsen to be rated number 1 on a FIDE monthly rating list.
- In case of unforseen circumstances (e.g. the creation of a competitor organization to FIDE), I will use a rating list that best includes all top players and all classical games.
- If you decide to add additional answers, please add only realistic people; I'll resolve troll answers to N/A. I will not bet in this market.
- Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Magnus Carlsen doesn't play any classical chess for 12 consecutive calendar months, he will be removed from the FIDE rating lists, and the market will be resolved to the top player on the list at that time.