Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDeepmind/Google/Alphabet 29%Líder entre 8 opciones
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68
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado3 mar 24, 16:53 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This question seeks to identify who will first publicly reveal human-level AGI.
- Timeline: Voting closes at the end of 2029.
- The question may be resolved earlier if a clear winner emerges.
- If human-level AGI is not achieved by 2030, the question will resolve based on who has made the most progress towards the criteria.
- Definitions:
- Human-level AGI: Artificial Intelligence capable of doing almost all human cognitive tasks to a high level (equivalent or better than a median professional in the field).