Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)?

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 77.9% a fecha de 22 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)?

Está previsto que Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.) se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2999.

¿Cómo se liquida Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)?

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Copied over from Elicit

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