Which will happen first: AGI, or a pile of sand at my local park being removed?
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Datos del 26 oct 2026, 0:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualPile of sand removed 78.4%
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado24 mar 24, 20:47 UTC1 abr 30, 3:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This pile of sand has been here for at least 3 years.
- I presume they want to use it for some kind of construction purpose.
- Every time I see it I think about the insane progress happening in the tech world and yet how we are still completely incapable of building or doing anything in the real world.
- [image]For the purposes of this question, AGI uses the Metaculus definition of weak AGI
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/