Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Entretenimiento3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
The Winds of Winter 69.9%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado4 jun 24, 18:07 UTC1 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
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Resolved upon release.
- In the event the book's name is changed, the next novel-length sequel in either series will win.
- (For example, if Rothfuss releases a surprise KC prequel that is not functionally the third book in his projected trilogy, that would not resolve YES--but if he just renames the third book "I hate writing here's the book give me my money and go away," that would resolve YES.)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)??
- Manifold Markets cotiza The Winds of Winter al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)??
- Está previsto que Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolved upon release.