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Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

0.5% (24h)EntretenimientoYearly6m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 11%+0.0%

Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad

Volumen 24h

91,2 €

Liquidez

2,4 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

9.0% / 13.0%

Spread

44.4%

Spread amplio

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

16 ene 26, 0:3331 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes11%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.