Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualTed Budd (R-NC) 78.1%Líder entre 34 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado24 sept 26, 7:20 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market tracks whether specific U.S. Senators run for re-election in the 2028 U.S. Senate elections.
- Each answer (representing an individual Senator) will resolve independently:
- YES: If the Senator officially files paperwork (e.g., FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy or state-level equivalent) to run for re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2028, and they remain an active candidate up until their state's official filing deadline.
- NO: If the Senator publicly announces their retirement, declares their candidacy for a different office (in states where they cannot run for multiple offices) instead of the Senate, or fails to file for re-election by their state’s official filing deadline.
- NO: If the Senator resigns, passes away, is removed from office, or otherwise leaves office before the filing deadline and is thus not a sitting Senator seeking re-election during the 2028 cycle.
