Which third party will successfully get elected a U.S. Representative, Senator, Governor, or President first?
Política14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualLibertarian Party 33.8%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado2 abr 26, 16:45 UTC3 nov 40, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Representative or Senator will have the highest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Ohio elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Iowa elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItReglas
Eligible Parties
- Any political party other than the Democratic or Republican parties counts.
- National, state, or local third parties are all included.
- Independents do not count.
- Candidate Requirements
- The candidate must run officially on the ballot as a nominee of the third party.
