Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine21dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualUnited Russia 96.5%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado28 jul 26, 6:46 UTC29 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
PolymarketWill United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?
Manifold MarketsHow are party-list seats divided in Russian state Duma in 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill United Russia get more seats in the next Russian Duma election than the one in 2021?
Manifold MarketsRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to the set of political parties that secure at least one seat in the 2026 Russian State Duma (9th convocation) through the federal party‑list proportional representation system only.
- Single‑member constituency wins are not considered for this market.
- The election is scheduled for September 18–20, 2026.
- Under Russian law, 225 of the 450 Duma seats are allocated via proportional representation, with a 5% electoral threshold.
- A party becomes part of the parliament if and only if it receives 5% or more of the valid votes cast in the federal party‑list vote, thereby qualifying for seat allocation.
- Parties that do not reach the 5% threshold, parties that are not on the final certified ballot, or parties that win only single‑member districts (which are excluded from this market) do not count as becoming part of the parliament for resolution purposes.
