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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. IA
  3. Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?
Manifold Markets

Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?

IATecnología4a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
xAI 99.1%
Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores

148

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 horas

Desactualizado
3 dic 25, 0:543 dic 30, 0:54

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Manifold Markets
Anthropic
0.5%
Manifold Markets
OpenAI
0.4%

Resultado elegido

xAI99%

Reglas

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded.
  • Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market:
  • Traditional IPO
  • Direct Listing
  • Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX)

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When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

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SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2026

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By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$63,539.26+0.02%SolanaSOL$66.75-0.37%EthereumETH$1,665.82-0.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.0877+1.44%BNBBNB$604.18+0.00%XRPXRP$1.13-0.61%

Noticias Relacionadas

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Reglas

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves to the company that is the first to be publicly traded.
  • Qualifying Events The following events count as an IPO for the purpose of this market:
  • Traditional IPO
  • Direct Listing
  • Merging with another private company then IPOing together (e.g. xAI and SpaceX)