Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Pronóstico comunitario actual≥$1T 100%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 28 días
Desactualizado22 abr 26, 3:491 jul 26, 3:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
≥$1T100%
≥$1.25T100%
≥$1.5T97.6%
≥$1.75T94%
≥$2T72.8%
≥$2.25T81.1%
≥$2.5T42.3%
≥$3T1%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· ≥$1T
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general72% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 12,3 mil € | 0 € | hace 27 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 28 días |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
0.7 ptsCerrados
+3.5pt100%
+65.3pt100%
+3.7pt100%
+12 resultados más
19 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total2,7 M €
Volumen 24h12,3 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).